Devises pour profitabilité

Nous croyons qu'il ya des sources de risques dans le marché des devises auxquels les investisseurs peuvent choisir d'allouer du capital dans l'attente rationnelle de réaliser un profit dans le long terme. Ces « premia de risques associés aux devises » sont similaires bien qu'à la fois différents des programmes plus familiers appelés « equity risk premium ». Nous gérons 2.7 milliard d'Euro en devises pour profitabilité (source du 30 septembre 2017).

Les deux  « premia » de risques sur devises que nous avons le plus longtemps utilisé sont les « Forward Rate Bias » (FRB) qui sont aussi connus comme « carry trade » et les appréciations attendues des devises des marchés émergeants alors que les devises de leurs marchés convergent avec celles des marches développés.

Dans les deux cas nous pouvons expliquer le premium de risque comme un paiement rationnel aux investisseurs qui accepte de prendre le risque impliqué dans une fonction économique.

Comme ces « premia » de risques les marchés de devises montrent des modes de comportements répétés qui peuvent être aussi exploités systématiquement. Deux de ces modes les plus connus sont les « Momentums » ou l'observation du mouvement du prix de demain dans plusieurs paires de devises ira très vraisemblablement  dans la même direction que celui d'aujourd'hui et les « valeurs » ou  observation que dans le temps les devises des marchés développés évoluent autour d'un niveau « de valeur juste » dans le long terme. Ces deux modes sont familiers à Record et peuvent être exploités dans l'anticipation de réaliser un profit.

Record offre des mandats qui exploitent chacun de ces modes ainsi que des mandats qui combinent plusieurs produits aux stratégies multiples. Nous offrons aussi des fonds communs qui exploitent principalement le FRB dans une forme passive et active de suivi d'index avec l'appréciation des devises des marchés émergents.

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